The Weapons of Mass Destruction
- Naked short puts — "Picking up pennies in front of a steamroller"
- Ratio spreads — Look like free money until they become infinite losses
- Short strangles on earnings — One surprise announcement ends your career
- The short volatility carry trade — The trade that killed XIV and wiped out billions
- Calendar spreads in a vol spike — Your hedge becomes your coffin
- All dangerous structures share one trait: asymmetric, unlimited downside
The Siren Song of "Easy Money"
There's a moment every options trader remembers. The moment they discovered that you can collect money TODAY for taking risk TOMORROW.
Selling options feels like magic. Cash appears in your account. You watch the position decay. The trade expires worthless. You keep the premium. Rinse and repeat.
90% of the time, it works every time.
And that's the trap.
"Option selling is like being an insurance company that forgot to check if their clients live in a flood zone. You collect premiums for years until the one storm that wipes you out."
— Victor Niederhoffer, After Blowing Up Twice
This article is a museum of destruction. A catalog of the option structures that have ended careers, bankrupted traders, and — in a few cases — required government bailouts.
Consider it a warning. Or a guide on what NOT to do.
The Naked Short Put: The Original Widow-Maker
The pitch: "Just sell puts on a stock you wouldn't mind owning! If the stock stays above the strike, you keep the premium. If it falls below, you buy the stock at a discount. Win-win!"
The reality: You're short a convex instrument. Your gains are capped at the premium received. Your losses are limited only by the stock going to zero. That's not a symmetric bet.
The Asymmetry of Death
Your maximum gain is the small premium. Your maximum loss is the entire strike price times 100 shares per contract. The math is insane.
Real Example: You sell a $100 put for $2.00 premium. You collect $200. Maximum profit: $200. Maximum loss if the stock goes to $0: $10,000.
Risk-reward ratio: 50:1 against you.
The Karen Supertrader Disaster
Karen Bruton, dubbed "Karen Supertrader," ran a fund selling naked puts and calls. Made consistent returns for years. Then 2018 happened: $100M+ in losses, SEC fraud charges.
The James Cordier Blowup
Professional options seller. Ran OptionSellers.com. Sold naked calls on natural gas. In Nov 2018, natural gas spiked 20%. Lost $150M of client money. Made a tearful YouTube apology.
The COVID Crash
Put sellers in Feb 2020 collected 1-2% premium. March came: 35% crash. That 1% premium turned into 40%+ losses. Thousands of accounts wiped.
The Pattern
Works for 2, 3, 5 years. Builds overconfidence. Position sizes grow. Then one day: the steamroller arrives.
"Selling naked puts is like picking up nickels in front of a freight train. You get used to the easy money. Then the train comes and you forget trains exist."
— Nassim Nicholas Taleb
The Ratio Spread: "Free" Money's Evil Twin
The pitch: "Put on a 1x2 ratio spread for a CREDIT! You get paid to enter a trade that profits if the stock goes up a little. Free money!"
The reality: You're buying one option and selling TWO. That extra short option has unlimited risk. The "free credit" is a fee for unlimited liability.
The "Free Money" Trap
Looks great in the middle. Make money if the stock stays flat or rises moderately. But if it REALLY moves? That extra short option creates unlimited loss potential.
The classic setup: Buy 1 $50 call, sell 2 $55 calls. Net credit: $0.50. Maximum profit if stock lands at $55 at expiration: $5.50. But if the stock goes to $70? Loss: $9.50 per share, and growing.
The danger zone is unlimited and starts right after your "max profit" point. It's a cliff disguised as a mountain.
When It Works
Stock moves exactly to the short strike. You capture maximum profit. Feel like a genius.
When It Kills
Stock gaps past your short strikes. Now you're short a naked option. The loss accelerates with every tick.
The Real Risk
You CAN'T know how far a stock will move. Earnings surprises, takeovers, news — all turn ratio spreads into time bombs.
Who Gets Trapped
Intermediate traders who learned just enough to be dangerous. They see "credit" and ignore the risk graph's right side.
The sickest part? Ratio spreads are pitched as "income strategies" in countless options courses. They show the beautiful P&L in the middle while cropping out the unlimited loss zone on the edge.
The Earnings Strangle: Russian Roulette, Wall Street Edition
The pitch: "IV always crushes after earnings! Sell a strangle before the announcement, collect the elevated premium, close the trade after IV drops. Easy 30-50% gains!"
The reality: You're betting that the stock won't move more than the market expects. But the market's expectations are already priced into the options. And when the stock DOES move big? You're trapped with two naked options, both losing money.
IV crush works in your favor ONLY if the stock doesn't move more than the implied move. But here's the problem: earnings surprises are, by definition, surprising.
When Meta (Facebook) missed earnings in February 2022, the stock dropped 26% overnight. Anyone short the $320 put strangle woke up to a $50/share loss. One trade wiped out years of premium collection.
Meta, Feb 2022
-26% overnight. Short strangle sellers lost 5-10x the premium collected. Many accounts wiped completely.
Netflix, Apr 2022
-35% on subscriber loss announcement. Short calls at ANY strike were destroyed. Some traders owed more than their account value.
Snap, Oct 2022
-28% on earnings miss. Short strangles went from collecting $3 to losing $15 in one night.
GameStop, Jan 2021
+400% in a week. Short call sellers received margin calls they couldn't meet. Some went into debt.
"Selling strangles over earnings is like selling insurance on a house during a hurricane warning. Yes, the premium is high. That's because the house might get destroyed."
— Tom Sosnoff, tastytrade
The Trade That Killed XIV: Short Vol Carry
This is it. The most dangerous trade structure ever created. The one that erased 96% of a $1.5 billion fund in a single day. The one that sent shockwaves through the entire financial system.
The pitch: "VIX futures are almost always in contango — future months are more expensive than current months. You can capture this 'roll yield' by shorting VIX futures or buying inverse VIX ETFs. It's like printing money!"
The reality: You're short volatility. When volatility spikes, you don't just lose money — you can lose EVERYTHING, instantly.
The Mechanics of Destruction
In normal times, you profit from the contango roll. In crisis times, the entire curve inverts, spot VIX explodes, and your position can go to zero — or negative.
February 5, 2018: "Volmageddon"
The VIX was at 13. The stock market had a modest 4% down day. Nothing unusual by historical standards.
But the VIX spiked from 17 to 50 in the after-hours session. XIV, the inverse VIX ETF, lost 96% of its value. Billions of dollars evaporated in hours.
The product was terminated. Investors who held XIV overnight lost essentially everything. Some had their entire retirement savings in it because it had "worked" for years.
The Seduction
XIV returned 540% from 2011-2018. Steady, beautiful gains. Looked like the perfect investment.
The Hidden Risk
Daily rebalancing + leveraged short vol = guaranteed blowup during spike. It was mathematical certainty.
Who Lost
Retail investors. Retirees. People who thought past performance = future results.
The Math
If VIX doubles, you lose 100%. If VIX doubles intraday, you can lose MORE than 100%. That's what happened.
"Short volatility is picking up pennies in front of a nuclear missile silo. Most days nothing happens. But when the silo opens, there are no pennies left. There is no you left."
— Artemis Capital Management
The Calendar Spread Trap: When Your Hedge Becomes Your Coffin
The pitch: "Calendar spreads are a safe way to profit from time decay! Buy a longer-dated option, sell a shorter-dated one at the same strike. The short-dated option decays faster. Easy theta profits!"
The reality: Calendar spreads are actually long vega — they PROFIT when volatility rises. But here's the twist: in a crisis, the term structure inverts and your long-dated option can actually lose value even as IV spikes.
Wait, what? Let me explain.
Normal Times
Long-dated IV = 25%. Short-dated IV = 20%. Your calendar spread is worth $2.00. Time decay works in your favor.
Crisis Hits
Short-dated IV spikes to 80%. But long-dated IV only goes to 40%. The term structure inverts.
The Trap
Your short option is now worth way more. Your long option didn't rise as much. The spread COLLAPSES.
The Irony
You thought you were hedged. But your "hedge" became your biggest loss. The structure worked against you.
This is counterintuitive, which is why it catches traders off guard. In a normal vol spike, calendar spreads profit. But in a panic, short-dated options explode while long-dated options barely move.
COVID crash, March 2020: Short-dated SPY puts spiked 400%+. Long-dated puts went up maybe 100%. Calendar spread holders who thought they were safe got crushed.
"Calendar spreads are wonderful theta machines until the term structure inverts. Then they become theta nightmares. The market doesn't care about your expected P&L."
— Karen Bruton (pre-blowup)
The Common Thread: Asymmetric Convexity
What do all these structures have in common?
They're all short convexity.
Let me explain. In options, convexity means the relationship between risk and reward is curved, not straight. When you're long convexity (buying options), your losses are limited but your gains can be huge. The payoff curves in your favor.
When you're short convexity (selling options, ratio spreads, short vol), it's the opposite: your gains are limited but your losses can be enormous. The payoff curves against you.
The Convexity Question
Option sellers profit in normal conditions but get destroyed in stress. Option buyers lose in normal conditions but hit home runs in stress. The question is: which side of the curve do you want to be on?
The siren song of option selling is that it works most of the time. 90%+ of the time, you collect premium and win. But that 10% — or 5%, or 1% — can wipe out all your gains and more.
This is why every option seller eventually blows up. Not if. When.
If You Must Sell: The Survival Guide
I'm not going to tell you never to sell options. That's unrealistic. Premium selling can be part of a strategy. But if you're going to play this game, here's how to not blow up:
NEVER Go Naked
Always define your risk. Sell spreads, not naked options. A $100 max loss is better than an infinite max loss. Always.
Size for the Blowup
Ask yourself: "What if I lose the maximum possible on this trade?" If the answer is "I'm ruined," the position is too big.
Avoid Earnings
Never sell strangles over binary events. The IV is high for a reason. Someone knows something you don't.
Watch the VIX
When VIX is at 12, you're getting paid peanuts for huge risk. Wait for elevated IV to sell premium.
Have an Exit Plan
Define your stop loss BEFORE entering. When the position goes against you 2x the premium collected, get out.
Buy Some Tails
Use 5-10% of your premium collected to buy far OTM options as disaster insurance. It eats returns but saves careers.
"The goal of trading is not to make money. The goal is to not blow up. If you can survive long enough, the money takes care of itself."
— Chris Cole, Artemis Capital
The Museum of Destruction
Every structure in this article has one thing in common: it works until it doesn't.
The naked puts work until the crash. The ratio spreads work until the gap. The short vol trade works until Volmageddon. The earnings strangles work until the 30% overnight move.
And the worst part? Success breeds overconfidence. The longer the strategy works, the bigger the position sizes get. The more "free money" you collect, the more certain you become that you've found an edge.
You haven't found an edge. You've found a time bomb with a random fuse.
The traders who survive are the ones who respect the math. The ones who know that selling options is selling lottery tickets — you'll profit most of the time, but when someone wins the lottery, you pay the jackpot.
This museum exists so you don't become an exhibit.
The Final Lesson
The most dangerous option structure is whichever one you've convinced yourself is "safe." There is no free money in markets. If it looks like free money, you're the product.