The One Day Every Futures Trader Fears

It's not a crash. It's not a Fed meeting. It's a quiet calendar date that most traders don't even know exists — until it destroys their account. Welcome to First Notice Day.

FND First Notice Day
₹0 Your Choice

☠️ The Silent Account Killer

  • First Notice Day (FND) is when delivery notices can be issued
  • Your broker will FORCE CLOSE your position without asking
  • You lose control of timing and price
  • Most retail traders don't know this date exists
  • This article might save your account — read carefully
01

What Is First Notice Day?

Futures contracts aren't just financial instruments. Many are legally binding agreements to deliver physical goods.

First Notice Day (FND) is the first day that the seller can notify the buyer that they intend to deliver the actual commodity.

Think about that. If you're long crude oil futures past FND, someone can say:

"Hey, your 1,000 barrels of oil are ready for pickup at Cushing, Oklahoma. Send a truck."

— The Universe, Reminding You This Is Real

Most retail traders can't take delivery. They don't have:

  • A warehouse to store 1,000 barrels of oil
  • The logistics to transport gold bars
  • The facilities to handle 5,000 bushels of corn
  • A clue what they've gotten themselves into

So brokers protect themselves — and you — by force-closing positions before FND. But they do it on THEIR terms, not yours.

02

The Broker's Nuclear Option

Here's what your broker agreement says (the part you didn't read):

Typical Broker Policy (Paraphrased)

"If you hold a deliverable futures position into the First Notice Day period and do not have an approved delivery account, we reserve the right to liquidate your position at any time, at market price, without prior notice."


Translation:

  • We will close your trade when WE want
  • At whatever price is available AT THAT MOMENT
  • You can't complain about slippage
  • You signed a contract saying we could do this
  • Don't call customer service crying — we warned you

This isn't theoretical. This happens every month.

03

The FND Nightmare Scenario

Let's walk through how FND destroys a real trading account:

Monday: The Setup

Rahul is long 2 lots of MCX Gold. He's up ₹25,000 on the trade. He's waiting for ₹80,000 target.

Tuesday: The Warning (Missed)

Broker sends email: "Positions in expiring gold contract will be squared off by Thursday." Rahul is busy at work. Doesn't check email.

Wednesday: The Dip

Gold drops 0.8% on dollar strength. Rahul is now up only ₹8,000. He thinks: "I'll wait for recovery."

Thursday 9:15 AM: The Execution

Broker's system auto-liquidates Rahul's position. Gold happens to be at session low (bid-ask wide). Slippage is brutal.

Thursday 9:16 AM: The Damage

Rahul's +₹25,000 trade closed at -₹12,000. A ₹37,000 swing because of a calendar date he didn't know.

Thursday 11:00 AM: The Insult

Gold recovers. Would have been +₹40,000 if he'd rolled to the next month on Monday.

Rahul wasn't wrong about gold. He was wrong about the calendar.

04

FND Dates You MUST Know

First Notice Day varies by contract. Here are the major ones:

Contract
First Notice Day
Safety Buffer
🛢️ Crude Oil (CL)
1 business day before expiry
Roll by T-5
⛽ Natural Gas (NG)
1 business day before expiry
Roll by T-5
🥇 Gold (GC)
Last business day of month before
Roll by T-7
🥈 Silver (SI)
Last business day of month before
Roll by T-7
🌽 Corn (ZC)
Last business day of month before
Roll by T-7
🌾 Wheat (ZW)
Last business day of month before
Roll by T-7
☕ Coffee (KC)
7 business days before 1st delivery day
Roll by T-10

Note: Your broker's cutoff is usually EARLIER than the exchange's FND. They add their own buffer. Check your broker's specific policy.

05

The MCX India Reality

For Indian traders on MCX, the game is slightly different but equally dangerous:

Expiry Day = Danger Day

MCX contracts often have physical delivery options. Your broker will force-close 1-3 days before expiry if you're not delivery-enabled.

Margin Spikes

In the last week, MCX increases margins significantly. If you can't meet the new margin, you get liquidated.

Delivery Intent

To take delivery, you need to submit intent 4-5 days before expiry. No intent = no delivery = forced closure.

Random Allocation

Delivery obligations can be randomly assigned. You might get stuck with delivery even if you didn't want it.

MCX Specific Dates

Gold: Expiry on 5th of contract month. Broker closes by 2nd-3rd.

Silver: Expiry on last day of month. Broker closes 2-3 days early.

Crude: Expiry around 19th-20th. Broker closes 2-3 days early.

Natural Gas: Last day of month. Broker closes 2-3 days early.

Action: Always check your specific broker's policy — it varies!

06

The Real Delivery Horror Stories

Think it can't happen? Here are real stories from the trenches:

Story 1: The Accidental Oil Baron

Year: 2019

Trader: Retail trader in US, trading crude futures

What Happened: Forgot about FND. Broker tried to contact him but couldn't.

Result: Exchange assigned him delivery. He received notice to take possession of 1,000 barrels of oil at Cushing, Oklahoma.

Cost: Storage fees, logistics fees, and penalties totaled $45,000 to get out of the situation.

Story 2: The Reluctant Gold Owner

Year: 2020

Trader: MCX trader, long gold futures

What Happened: Didn't realize his broker required delivery intent 5 days early

Result: Position force-closed at worst time of day. Gap down plus slippage = ₹75,000 loss on what was a winning trade.

Lesson: Read your broker's expiry policy document. It exists.

Story 3: The Coffee Surprise

Year: 2021

Trader: Prop trader at small firm

What Happened: Held coffee futures past FND, expecting cash settlement

Result: Coffee is PHYSICAL delivery only. Exchange assigned him 37,500 lbs of coffee. In a warehouse. In Miami.

Resolution: Frantic scrambling to find a buyer. Sold at 15% below market. Total loss: $28,000.

07

Other Days Futures Traders Fear

FND isn't the only dangerous date. Here's the full calendar of fear:

Event
What It Is
Why It's Dangerous
First Notice Day
Delivery notices can start
Broker force-closes positions
Last Trading Day
Final day to trade the contract
Zero liquidity, maximum slippage
Options Expiry
Options on futures expire
Pin risk, gamma explosion
Roll Week
Major funds roll positions
Contango/backwardation pressure
USDA Report Days
Crop reports (grains)
Limit moves possible
OPEC Meetings
Oil production decisions
5-10% moves in hours
EIA Storage Report
Weekly nat gas/oil inventory
Nat gas can move 5%+ instantly
08

The FND Survival Protocol

How to never become a victim of First Notice Day:

Step 1: Calendar It

Download your exchange's expiry calendar. Add every FND to your trading calendar with 7-day reminders.

Step 2: Read Broker Policy

Find your broker's "Expiry Policy" or "Delivery Policy" document. Know their cutoff dates.

Step 3: Roll Early

Never wait until the last minute. Roll or close at least 5-7 trading days before FND.

Step 4: Set Alerts

Enable email and SMS alerts from your broker. Don't miss expiry warnings.

Pro Tip: Trade the 2nd Month

Instead of trading the "front month" (nearest expiry), trade the second month contract.

  • More time before FND concerns
  • Often similar liquidity
  • Less roll pressure
  • Still tracks spot price closely

Example: In January, instead of trading Feb Crude, trade March Crude.

09

The Psychology of FND Victims

Why do smart traders still get caught? Psychology.

Loss Aversion

"I'm down right now. I'll roll when I'm back to breakeven." Breakeven never comes. FND does.

Overconfidence

"I know the date. I'll roll tomorrow." Tomorrow becomes the day after. Then it's FND eve.

Ignorance

"FND? What's that?" Most retail traders have never read their contract specifications.

Roll Cost Fear

"Rolling costs ₹2,000 in slippage. I'll wait." Then broker-forced closure costs ₹20,000.

"Every month, I watch traders lose more to FND than they would have spent on an entire year of roll costs. The penny-wise, pound-foolish mentality destroys futures accounts."

— Commodity Broker, 18 years experience
10

The Bottom Line

First Notice Day is not a bug in futures trading. It's a feature. It keeps the system honest — futures are meant to facilitate real commerce, not just speculation.

But for retail traders, it's a silent killer that claims victims every single month.

Your FND Survival Checklist

  • Know the date: FND varies by contract. Learn yours.
  • Know your broker: Their cutoff is earlier than exchange FND
  • Roll early: 5-7 days before FND minimum
  • Don't ignore warnings: Check broker emails
  • Trade back months: Less FND stress, similar liquidity
  • Accept roll costs: They're cheaper than forced liquidation

The best futures traders aren't just good at reading charts. They're good at reading calendars.

Mark your FND dates. Set your reminders. Roll early.

Because the one day every futures trader fears doesn't announce itself with breaking news or red candles.

It just quietly arrives — and takes whatever you forgot to protect.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trading with a proven edge, proper risk management, and emotional discipline is a skill, not gambling. The difference: gambling has negative expected value, skilled trading has positive expected value over time. However, trading without a plan, overleveraging, and following tips is gambling with worse odds than casinos.

Most successful traders take 2-3 years of consistent practice to become profitable. This includes learning, paper trading, losing money on small positions, and developing a personalized system. Studies show only 1-3% of day traders are profitable after 5 years. Expect to pay 'tuition' to the market.

Studies consistently show only 5-10% of retail traders are profitable long-term. SEBI's 2023 study found 93% of Indian F&O traders lost money with ₹1.81 lakh average loss. Day trading is harder - only 1% profitable. The odds improve for swing traders and investors with longer timeframes.

Only consider full-time trading after: (1) 2+ years of consistent profitability, (2) 2 years of living expenses saved, (3) Proven track record through bull AND bear markets, (4) Passive income to cover basic needs. Most successful full-time traders started part-time while employed. Don't burn bridges until you've proved yourself.

Ready to Master the Calendar?

Never be caught off-guard by expiry dates again

Join Free

🛠️ Power Tools for This Strategy

📊 Expected Move Calculator

Use this calculator to optimize your positions and maximize your edge

Try Tool →

🎯 Margin Calculator

Track and analyze your performance with real-time market data

Try Tool →