Key Takeaways
- Lot size is about RISK, not profit — Calculate based on what you can lose, not what you want to make
- Never risk more than 1-2% of your capital per trade — This lets you survive losing streaks
- The formula is simple: Risk Amount ÷ Stop Loss Points = Number of Lots
- Your stop loss determines lot size — Tight stop = more lots, wide stop = fewer lots
- Position sizing beats stock picking — Right size, wrong trade still saves you; wrong size, right trade can kill you
The Pizza Slice Problem: What Even Is Lot Size?
Imagine you're at a pizza party. The pizza is your trading capital. Every trade you take is like eating a slice.
Now here's the question: How big should each slice be?
If you eat half the pizza in one go and it gives you food poisoning (your trade goes wrong), you've got almost nothing left. Game over.
But if you take tiny slices — say 1-2% of the pizza per bite — even if a few bites are bad, you've still got plenty of pizza left to enjoy.
Lot size calculation is simply figuring out how many "units" of a stock, future, or option you should trade so that if things go wrong, you only lose that small slice of your capital.
It sounds boring. It's not glamorous. But here's the truth:
Professional traders spend more time on position sizing than on finding trades. The trade is the easy part. Sizing it correctly is where careers are made or destroyed.
Two Traders, Same Trade, Different Fates
Let me tell you about two traders. Both have ₹5 lakh capital. Both find the exact same trading setup on Bank Nifty. Both are equally skilled.
The trade moves against them by 100 points. What happens next?
= ₹1,50,000 LOSS
= 30% of capital... GONE
= ₹4,500 LOSS
= 0.9% of capital... a scratch
Same trade. Same skill. Same market. But Rahul needs a 43% gain just to recover. Anita? She's already looking for her next setup.
This is why lot size calculation isn't optional — it's survival.
"The reality is that most traders who blow up don't blow up because they were wrong about the market. They blow up because they were wrong about their position size. They confused conviction with bet size."
The Golden Formula: Simple Math, Powerful Protection
Here's the formula that every professional trader uses. It's so simple you might think it's too basic to matter. You'd be wrong.
Let's break this down with a real example you can follow along:
📊 Real Example: Bank Nifty Trade
Let's calculate the right lot size step-by-step
See how simple that is? No complex math. No fancy software needed. Just basic division.
But here's what most traders do instead: They look at their margin, see they can buy 10 lots, and buy 10 lots. That's not trading — that's gambling.
The Secret Connection: Stop Loss Determines Everything
Here's something that confuses beginners: Your stop loss and lot size are connected. You can't decide one without the other.
Think of it like a seesaw:
- Tight stop loss (50 points) → You can trade MORE lots
- Wide stop loss (200 points) → You must trade FEWER lots
The math stays the same. Your maximum risk stays the same. Only the lot count changes.
| Stop Loss | Loss Per Lot | Max Lots (₹5K Risk) | Actual Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 points | ₹750 | 6 lots | ₹4,500 |
| 100 points | ₹1,500 | 3 lots | ₹4,500 |
| 150 points | ₹2,250 | 2 lots | ₹4,500 |
| 200 points | ₹3,000 | 1 lot | ₹3,000 |
Notice how in every case, the actual risk stays around ₹4,500-5,000? That's the magic of position sizing. The market can move differently, your stop can be different, but YOUR risk stays constant.
Either way, you're controlling your fuel consumption (risk). Same journey, same fuel budget, different speeds.
How Much Risk Is Too Much? The Risk Ruler
So we keep saying 1-2% risk. But why that number? Can you risk 5%? 10%? Let's look at what happens:
The Risk Tolerance Ruler
Where should you be on this scale?
Let's see the math of destruction:
| Risk Per Trade | 5 Consecutive Losses | 10 Consecutive Losses | Trades to Blow Up |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1% | -5% (₹4.75L left) | -10% (₹4.50L left) | ~70 losses |
| 2% | -10% (₹4.50L left) | -18% (₹4.10L left) | ~35 losses |
| 5% | -23% (₹3.85L left) | -40% (₹3.00L left) | ~14 losses |
| 10% | -41% (₹2.95L left) | -65% (₹1.75L left) | ~7 losses |
At 10% risk per trade, just 7 bad trades wipe out most of your account. And here's the terrifying truth: Even good traders have 7 losing trades in a row sometimes.
⚠️ Reality Check
A trader with 60% win rate (which is excellent) will still experience a losing streak of 7+ trades about once every 200 trades. If you're trading actively, that's just a few months away. When it happens, will your account survive?
Special Rules for Options Traders
Options are tricky for lot sizing because they can go to zero. Here's how to think about it:
When Buying Options:
Your maximum loss is the premium paid. So your lot size formula becomes:
📊 Example: Buying Bank Nifty Call Option
When Selling Options:
This is trickier because losses can be unlimited. Use the same formula as futures — calculate based on your stop loss, not the premium received.
If you sell an option at ₹100 and your stop loss is at ₹200, you're risking ₹100 per unit. Size accordingly.
Visualizing Your Capital: Building Blocks
Let's make this visual. If your capital is made of 100 building blocks, each block is 1% of your money.
5 blocks risked
25 blocks risked
After 5 trades at 1% risk each (even if all losses), you've still got 95 blocks left. After 5 trades at 5% risk (all losses), you've lost 25 blocks — a quarter of everything.
Same number of trades. Same skill. Completely different outcomes.
5 Lot Sizing Mistakes That Kill Accounts
You might only be able to afford 0.5 lots based on your stop loss!
One big loss on doubled size wipes out weeks of gains
This is how ₹10K loss becomes ₹50K loss
You're just hoping and praying
Your Lot Size Cheat Sheet
Here's a quick reference table for different capital sizes. Memorize the one that matches your account:
| Your Capital | 1% Risk | Max Loss Per Trade | Bank Nifty Lots (100pt SL) |
|---|---|---|---|
| ₹1,00,000 | ₹1,000 | ₹1,000 | 0 lots (trade smaller) |
| ₹2,00,000 | ₹2,000 | ₹2,000 | 1 lot |
| ₹5,00,000 | ₹5,000 | ₹5,000 | 3 lots |
| ₹10,00,000 | ₹10,000 | ₹10,000 | 6 lots |
| ₹25,00,000 | ₹25,000 | ₹25,000 | 16 lots |
| ₹50,00,000 | ₹50,000 | ₹50,000 | 33 lots |
Important: If your capital is ₹1-2 lakh, you probably shouldn't be trading Bank Nifty futures at all. The minimum lot size already exceeds proper risk management. Consider Nifty options or stocks instead.
The Bottom Line: Math Beats Ego
Here's what separates traders who survive from those who blow up:
- Survivors ask: "How much can I lose?" before asking "How much can I make?"
- Survivors know: Position sizing is more important than entry timing
- Survivors accept: Sometimes the right answer is "I can only trade 1 lot"
- Survivors understand: Small, consistent bets compound. Big, random bets explode.
Trading isn't about hitting home runs. It's about staying in the game long enough for your edge to play out. And that means protecting your capital on every single trade.
Rule #1: Never lose money. Rule #2: Never forget Rule #1. Position sizing is how you follow both rules simultaneously.
— Warren Buffett (adapted for traders)
Before your next trade, run the numbers. It takes 30 seconds. It might save your entire account.
Calculate before every trade. No exceptions. No excuses.
Master Risk Management
Lot size is just one piece of the risk management puzzle. Explore more strategies that keep you in the game.